BTC Price Prediction: Bullish Momentum Amid Institutional Adoption and Regulatory Clarity

#BTC

• Technical Outlook: MACD bullish crossover and Bollinger Band support suggest potential upside.
• Institutional Demand: Major players like Cardone Capital and Metaplanet are aggressively accumulating BTC.
• Regulatory Tailwinds: U.S. regulatory clarity (GENIUS Act) and Fed rate cuts could fuel further gains.

BTC Price Prediction

BTC Technical Analysis: Key Indicators to Watch

According to BTCC financial analyst Sophia, Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at 101,972.55 USDT, below its 20-day moving average (MA) of 105,147.76, suggesting a short-term bearish signal. However, the MACD indicator shows a bullish crossover with the MACD line at 1,431.99 above the signal line at 553.44, indicating potential upward momentum. Bollinger Bands reveal BTC is trading near the lower band (100,161.54), which could act as a support level. Sophia notes that a break above the middle band (105,147.76) may signal a trend reversal.

Market Sentiment: Bullish Catalysts for Bitcoin

BTCC financial analyst Sophia highlights several bullish factors for Bitcoin. Positive news includes Trump Media's $400M share buyback maintaining its bitcoin treasury strategy, the U.S. Congress advancing crypto regulation with the GENIUS Act, and the Fed's potential rate cut in July energizing markets. Additionally, institutional interest remains strong with Cardone Capital adding 1,000 BTC and Metaplanet accumulating 11,111 BTC. Despite Robert Kiyosaki's warning of a crash, Sophia believes the overall sentiment is bullish, supported by geopolitical calm and Bitcoin's resilience above $100K.

Factors Influencing BTC’s Price

Canaan Exits AI Chip Business to Refocus on Bitcoin Mining

Canaan Inc. (CAN), a Singapore-based manufacturer of Bitcoin mining machines, is winding down its artificial intelligence semiconductor business to concentrate on its core crypto operations. Despite the broader trend of miners diversifying into AI, the company found the segment unprofitable and misaligned with its long-term strategy.

The AI unit generated just $900,000 in revenue in 2024—a fraction of Canaan's total $88.8 million—while consuming 15% of operating expenses. CEO Nangeng Zhang emphasized that doubling down on Bitcoin mining and crypto infrastructure presents the most strategic path forward.

Canaan began exploring exit options for the AI division as early as March 2022, considering both sale and shutdown scenarios. The phase-out is expected to conclude within months, with anticipated cost reductions thereafter.

Known for its Avalon mining rigs—among the earliest ASIC miners for Bitcoin—Canaan went public on Nasdaq in 2019. The firm continues to develop mining hardware while expanding into self-mining and consumer-facing products.

Trump Media Announces $400M Share Buyback, Maintains Bitcoin Treasury Strategy

Trump Media and Technology Group (DJT), the parent company of Truth Social, unveiled a $400 million share repurchase program. The buyback will be executed through open market transactions, with all repurchased shares to be retired. CEO Devin Nunes emphasized the company's $3 billion balance sheet provides flexibility for shareholder-friendly actions while preserving its Bitcoin treasury strategy.

The firm recently secured over $2 billion from institutional investors to establish a BTC treasury, with custody services provided by Crypto.com and Anchorage Digital. DJT shares rose 3.8% to $18.50 following the announcement, reflecting market approval of the capital allocation strategy that keeps cryptocurrency holdings intact.

Analyst Compares Bitcoin's $100K Price in 2025 to Historic Entry Points

Bitcoin's recent volatility, dipping below $100,000 amid geopolitical tensions, has drawn comparisons to past bull cycles. Analysts suggest that purchasing Bitcoin at current levels may mirror historically profitable entry points, such as $1,200 in 2017 and $32,000 in 2021.

The cryptocurrency briefly fell to $98,000 following reports of a U.S. strike on Iranian nuclear sites but rebounded to $101,900 by June 23. Over the past week, Bitcoin declined 4.37%, with a 0.93% drop in the last 24 hours.

Altcoin Daily highlights that previous 'expensive' purchase points were followed by significant rallies. In 2017, Bitcoin surged from $1,200 to over $19,000, while the 2021 cycle saw a climb from $32,000 to $69,000.

U.S. Congress Advances Bitcoin and Digital Asset Regulation with GENIUS Act

Congress has taken a historic step toward establishing America's leadership in digital asset innovation with the passage of the GENIUS Act. The legislation aims to create clear, consistent rules for the sector, balancing consumer protection, innovation, and national security. Stablecoins—digital tokens pegged 1:1 to the dollar—are a key focus, with provisions for state and federal oversight, transparency, and reserve requirements.

The bipartisan effort underscores a shared belief that the U.S. must lead in Bitcoin and digital asset development. The framework seeks to unlock economic opportunity while addressing illicit finance risks. Market structure reforms are expected to follow, further solidifying the country's competitive edge in global finance.

Fed’s Potential July Rate Cut Announcement Energizes Crypto Markets

Cryptocurrency markets surged following remarks from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller hinting at a potential interest rate cut in July. Bitcoin (BTC) rallied to $102,500 as the US dollar index dipped to 98.9 and the S&P 500 neared the 6,000 mark. The prospect of looser monetary policy has reignited risk appetite among digital asset investors.

Key inflation data from the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report due Friday could further shape market expectations. "Should inflationary pressures remain limited, I will support a move to lower the policy interest rate," Waller stated, suggesting the central bank may prioritize labor market stability if price growth continues moderating.

Metaplanet's Bitcoin Bet Hits 11,111 BTC Amid Market Turmoil

Metaplanet has aggressively expanded its Bitcoin holdings, acquiring an additional 1,111 BTC on June 23, 2025, for $118.2 million. The Tokyo-based firm now holds 11,111 BTC worth over $1.07 billion, becoming the eighth-largest corporate Bitcoin holder globally. Its average purchase price stands at $95,869 per BTC, with year-to-date returns on Bitcoin assets reaching 306.7%.

Despite the milestone, Metaplanet's stock fell 4% to 1712 JPY as geopolitical tensions escalated. The Iran-Israel conflict and U.S. military strikes rattled markets, overshadowing the company's crypto achievements. This divergence highlights how macroeconomic factors continue to influence investor sentiment toward crypto-correlated assets.

The company's rapid accumulation—from 1,000 BTC to 11,111 BTC in six months—demonstrates institutional conviction in Bitcoin as a treasury asset. Metaplanet now surpasses Hut8 in corporate Bitcoin rankings, though market reactions suggest crypto adoption narratives remain vulnerable to traditional risk-off events.

Cryptocurrencies Resurge as Global Tensions Wane

Bitcoin reclaimed the $102,000 threshold after a brief dip to $98,200, fueled by geopolitical de-escalation and a social media push from former U.S. President Donald Trump. The absence of immediate retaliation from Iran following weekend strikes bolstered market sentiment, with Israeli officials signaling potential diplomatic progress. Trump's call to "Drill baby, drill" and pressure on oil prices created ripple effects across crypto markets.

Oil markets stabilized after initial volatility, with Brent crude retreating from $80 highs. U.S. manufacturing data edged past forecasts at 52 PMI, reinforcing the soft-landing narrative. The crypto rally defied traditional risk-off patterns, highlighting growing decoupling from macro shocks.

Cardone Capital Adds 1,000 BTC, Eyes 3,000 in Bold Bitcoin Strategy

Grant Cardone, the prominent real estate investor, has positioned his firm, Cardone Capital, as a pioneer in merging traditional real estate with cryptocurrency. The company recently acquired 1,000 BTC, valued at approximately $100 million, marking its entry into the Bitcoin market.

"CardoneCapital adds 1,000 BTC to balance sheet becoming first ever real estate/BTC company integrated with full BTC strategy combining the two best in class assets," Cardone announced. This move places the firm among the top 30 corporate Bitcoin holders globally, rivaling publicly traded companies.

Cardone Capital's portfolio includes 14,200 residential units and over 500,000 square feet of Class A office space. The firm plans to expand its Bitcoin holdings to 3,000 BTC and add 5,000 residential units by year-end, leveraging real estate cash flow to fuel its crypto strategy.

Robert Kiyosaki Warns of Bitcoin Crash Amid Geopolitical Tensions, Favors Silver

Robert Kiyosaki, author of 'Rich Dad Poor Dad,' predicts a looming global monetary collapse fueled by escalating debt and geopolitical strife. His outlook includes a near-term downturn for Bitcoin, citing the intensifying conflict between Iran and Israel as a catalyst for market volatility. Liquidations in the crypto market surged to $458 million over the weekend as investors shifted toward low-risk assets.

Kiyosaki identifies silver as the most compelling investment opportunity, emphasizing its undervalued status relative to gold and Bitcoin. 'Silver is the best bet right now,' he stated, noting its strong future potential. He remains cautious on gold and Bitcoin, calling them overpriced and awaiting deeper corrections.

The broader financial system faces heightened instability, with fiat currencies and bonds at particular risk, according to Kiyosaki. His warning reflects a growing risk-off sentiment across global markets, with Bitcoin briefly dipping below $100,000 amid the turmoil.

Bitcoin Defies Peak Predictions and Continues Bullish Run

Bitcoin's relentless ascent challenges bearish forecasts as analysts reaffirm its long-term bullish trajectory. The cryptocurrency surged from $74,000 to nearly $110,000 in 2025, defying calls for a market top. Technical indicators, including sustained positions above key moving averages, signal enduring strength.

"Identifying a peak here is challenging," noted analyst Cheds to his 49,800 YouTube subscribers. Weekly charts reveal a robust uptrend with no reversal patterns, suggesting current price action represents consolidation rather than capitulation. This mirrors Bitcoin's historical behavior when approaching previous all-time highs.

The 2021 cycle saw two failed attempts to breach $69,000 before a prolonged downturn. Today's market structure appears fundamentally different, with institutional participation and macroeconomic tailwinds supporting higher valuations. Market technicians emphasize the significance of Bitcoin maintaining positions above both the 8-period EMA and 200-day moving average.

Bitcoin Recovers Amid Geopolitical Calm and White House Statements

Bitcoin's price rebounded to $101,500 after a sharp drop to $98,200, driven by geopolitical tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz. The market stabilized as Israel signaled the end of its operations and openness to diplomacy, prompting a measured response from Iran. White House officials Leavitt and Hassett underscored the importance of NATO defense spending and addressed interest rate dialogues, contributing to renewed market confidence.

Geopolitical risks eased further as Iran's reaction to recent facility bombings remained contained, avoiding escalation. White House Press Secretary Leavitt cited intelligence on Iran's nuclear timeline as partial justification for military action, while reaffirming U.S. commitments to NATO's defense targets. Advisor Hassett's comments on ongoing Treasury discussions added to the macroeconomic narrative influencing crypto markets.

Is BTC a good investment?

Based on technical and fundamental analysis, BTCC analyst Sophia suggests BTC presents a compelling investment opportunity. Below is a summary of key data:

Fundamentally, institutional accumulation (e.g., Metaplanet, Cardone Capital) and regulatory progress (GENIUS Act) bolster long-term prospects. While volatility persists, the confluence of technical support and bullish catalysts makes BTC a high-conviction bet.